Investor memoOctober 2026Draft for discussion

The operating system for validated alpha.

Curren turns market hypotheses into validated, deployable alpha — for traders and AI agents. This memo separates what exists today from what comes next, and explains why a public decision record is the wedge.

Stage
Pre-revenue
No revenue is claimed.
Users
None claimed
Add verified figures only. [If any]
Partnerships
None
No partner logos, by design.
Live publication
Not continuous yet
One bounded publisher cycle verified on 2026-09-18.
01

What Curren is

Curren is an Alpha OS: a system in which humans and AI agents discover market hypotheses, validate them against point-in-time evidence, promote only the ideas that survive, and publish the resulting decisions with a permanent lifecycle record.

The first product built on it is Curren Signals — published market decisions whose full history stays public: peaks, stop-outs and positions still open.

Every decision timestamped before the outcome.
02

The problem

Market ideas are cheap, and getting cheaper: models can now generate hypotheses faster than anyone can test them. What stays scarce is evidence that an idea worked when it was actually used.

Where alpha claims come fromWhy they fail as evidence
BacktestsWritten after the data. Easy to overfit, easy to revise.
Signal channelsSelected after the outcome. Losing calls quietly disappear.
AI agentsNo memory of which of their ideas survived contact with the market.

The missing primitive is a decision record written before the outcome and kept regardless of it.

03

The product wedge

We start with signals because they force the whole discipline into the smallest product: a decision is published before the outcome, followed through a defined lifecycle, and kept on the record whatever happens.

Published2026-09-16 20:00 UTCThe decision exists first.
Peak R+3.04RThe best case it reached. Not profit.
The ruleStop −1R until +0.5RAfter that, back at entry ends tracking.

CHIPUSDT · Long · #137 — the newest signal on the record. Peak R is the only performance number the product shows.

04

Alpha OS architecture

One pipeline. Every surface — signals, team tools, APIs and agents — reads from the same registry of ideas that survived validation.

HypothesisPoint-in-time researchFalsificationRegistryDistribution
LayerWhat it doesStatus
Hypothesis captureStates market ideas in falsifiable form.In development
Point-in-time researchTests restricted to data available at the time.In development
FalsificationKills weak ideas before deployment.In development
Alpha registryVersions and promotes survivors.Next [confirm]
SignalsPublished decisions with a public record.Available
API · Python · CLI · MCPRead-only programmatic access.Open-source alpha
05

Public-record evidence

The evidence is the record itself — the complete population of published decisions, read from the public replica when this page renders. Continuous publication from the private runtime is not yet enabled, so this is a historical baseline, not a live-feed claim.

Public record · baselineSynced 2026-10-06 06:14 UTC
137Signals
59Tracking ended
62Stop loss
2Active · last reported
Record landscape · complete population · publication order

One line per published signal. Each stem rises from entry to the best case it reached — its Peak R. Signals stopped before +0.5R drop to −1R.

Peak R stemPeak R · best case reachedStop loss · −1R
MAR 2026APRMAYJUNJULAUGSEP
Selected#137 · CHIPUSDT
Peaks are recorded maxima reached at different, unpublished times. They are not simultaneously realizable and do not add up to a return.Order: publication. Never sorted by outcome.
What this evidence is
  • A complete, timestamped population of published decisions.
  • Stop-outs and open positions included.
  • Publication order. Never sorted by outcome.
What it is not
  • Audited returns, or a P&L track record — Peak R is the best case reached, not money made.
  • A promise about future performance.
  • Σ Peak R (+161.4R) is a sum of recorded maxima — not money.
06

The developer and agent layer

Every record is machine-readable. A read-only API, Python client, CLI, six MCP tools and an Omarchy desktop widget ship as open-source alpha (v0.4.0, MIT) — the same object humans inspect, with no endpoint that can place a trade.

› curren_get_signal("crn_sig_0098"){ "symbol": "BTCUSDT", "side": "long", "peak_r": 3.42, "published_at": "2026-09-14T08:15:00Z" }// excerpt · illustrative values · not a live call

Agents will increasingly act on market ideas. They need decisions that come with their own history — and an interface that cannot move money.

07

Current status

Revenue
Pre-revenue
Users
Not claimed in this memo [add verified figures]
Partnerships
None
Signals
Available · public record online (137-row baseline; correction pending)
Publication cadence
Not continuous — one bounded cycle verified 2026-09-18; continuous publishing not enabled
api.curren.tech
Contract implemented (v0.4.0 alpha); production deployment pending
Research workbench
In development
Developer access
v0.4.0 alpha, MIT — read-only API, Python client, CLI, MCP (six tools), Omarchy plugin
Team
[Founders and roles]
Raise
[Round · amount · use of funds]
08

Built, and what is next

Built
  • Public read modelStrict sanitized publication boundary, server-enforced public delay, replay-safe ingestion.
  • Integrity recordsHashed initial publication, append-only lifecycle, frozen terminal outcome.
  • Landing read replicaFreshness-bounded public views: fresh, stale and idle are distinguished.
  • API · Python · CLI · MCP · Omarchyv0.4.0 alpha, read-only, MIT.
The ask

[Round, amount and what it unlocks]

Contact [name · email]

© 2026 Curren · Investor memo · not indexedNo performance claims. Every figure on this page comes from the public record feed. Information only; not investment advice.